From 2012 to 2017, 38 production lines with an annual nameplate capacity of 15,000 tons or more were commissioned around the world totaling more than 678,000 tons of nameplate capacity. During this period, 16 new producers began using this nonwoven technology worldwide. Between 2018 and 2022, 409,500 tonnes of nameplate capacity will be commissioned globally and even more is likely to be installed. This capacity will serve growing demand in emerging and developed markets, increase the availability of light weight, high strength spunbonded and spunmelt nonwovens and enhance the cost-of-manufacture position of producers. This large increment of capacity will affect regional capacity utilization and challenge the continued operation of early generation technology.
The report provides a detailed forecast and analysis of supply, demand and machine utilization each year from 2017 - 2022 in each global region. Demand for polypropylene spunbonded nonwovens is growing at attractive rates in some regions and less so in others. Capacity utilization will be uneven among global regions and producers. Hygiene demand continues to dominate consumption in this technology segment. Demand growth is driven by the increasing market penetration and a variety of other factors. Positioning of new plants in India, Africa and throughout the Asia-Pacific region illustrates demand growth in these locations. Several major factors influence producer profitability around the world, including raw material costs, supply/demand imbalances, increasing use of modern, low-cost technology, emergence of new global and regional producers, shifts in merchant market versus captive demand, producer consolidation and restructuring. Many spunbonded polypropylene producers struggle with profitability, while others are performing well. In some regions, capacity rationalization has occurred as new technology is commissioned. Modern, advanced technology has been, and will continue to be, installed. Newer technology will take share from older, less productive units of capacity to supply the hygiene market. Older technology will be used to supply non-hygiene markets and generally operate at lower utilization rates until retired.
The Price Hanna Consultants study providessignificant new findings on the following topics:
· Perspective on regional and global capacity development from 2012-2022 and estimates of supply/demand by global region for each year from 2017-2022.
· Estimates of imports and exports by region and their impact on regional capacity utilization.
· Analysis of regional output capacity capable of supplying modern hygiene end uses by individual machine and in total by producer and region as compared to regional demand.
· Cost-of-manufacture estimates for selected leading regional producers using the latest generation technology based on estimates of Q3 2017 polypropylene costs.